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Projecting impacts of anthropogenic climatic change on the bird communities of southern Swedish spruce monocultures: will the species poor get poorer?

Felton, Adam and Lindbladh, Matts and Elmberg, Johan and Felton, Annika and Andersson, Erik and Sekercioglu, Cagan and Collingham, Yvonne and Huntley, Brian (2013). Projecting impacts of anthropogenic climatic change on the bird communities of southern Swedish spruce monocultures: will the species poor get poorer? Ornis fennica. 90, 1-13
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Abstract

The potential impact of climatic change on bird species’ distributions in Europe was recently modeled
for several scenarios of projected late 21st century climate. The results indicate
mean range shifts of hundreds of kilometres north for many of European bird species.
Here we consider the implications from such distributional shifts for the bird communities
of Norway spruce (Picea abies)monocultures in southern Sweden, a forest type
likely to remain prevalent due to forestry, despite climate change. Our assessment led us to
three key findings. First, the monocultures offer suitable habitat to only two bird species
projected to extend their breeding distribution northwards into southern Sweden this century.
Second, species richness was projected to decline overall, which would accentuate
the depauperate nature of these stands. Third, all conifer-associated arboreal granivores
and three of four conifer-associated arboreal insectivores were projected not to occur, reducing
both the functional richness and functional redundancy. We discuss caveats related
to our approach, including the potential for bioclimatic projections – used in this
study – to be hampered by the artificial retention of dominant vegetation. We also discuss
the implications of our results for avian biodiversity in what is today the most prevalent
forest type in southern Sweden and in many other regions of Europe.

Authors/Creators:Felton, Adam and Lindbladh, Matts and Elmberg, Johan and Felton, Annika and Andersson, Erik and Sekercioglu, Cagan and Collingham, Yvonne and Huntley, Brian
Title:Projecting impacts of anthropogenic climatic change on the bird communities of southern Swedish spruce monocultures: will the species poor get poorer?
Series/Journal:Ornis fennica (BIB11695478)
Year of publishing :2013
Volume:90
Page range:1-13
Number of Pages:13
Publisher:BirdLife Finland
Language:English
Additional Information:Publshed with permission by Ornis Fennica.
Publication Type:Journal article
Refereed:Yes
Article category:Scientific peer reviewed
Version:Published version
Full Text Status:Public
Subjects:(A) Swedish standard research categories 2011 > 1 Natural sciences > 106 Biological Sciences (Medical to be 3 and Agricultural to be 4) > Ecology
(A) Swedish standard research categories 2011 > 1 Natural sciences > 105 Earth and Related Environmental Sciences > Climate Research
Keywords:climatic change, monocultures, bird species distribution
URN:NBN:urn:nbn:se:slu:epsilon-e-1858
Permanent URL:
http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:slu:epsilon-e-1858
ID Code:11097
Faculty:S - Faculty of Forest Sciences
Department:(S) > Southern Swedish Forest Research Centre
Deposited By: SLUpub Connector
Deposited On:14 Apr 2014 09:19
Metadata Last Modified:02 Dec 2014 11:05

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