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Research article2016Peer reviewedOpen access

Erroneous conclusions about current geographical distribution and future expansion of forest insects in Northern Sweden: comments on Hof and Svahlin (2015)

Björklund, Niklas; Lindelöw, Åke; Schroeder, Martin

Abstract

We question the validity of the results and the conclusions from a study entitled The potential effect of climate change on the geographical distribution of insect pest species in the Swedish boreal forest that was recently published in Scandinavian Journal of Forest Research. The main problem is that for several of the species the current geographical distributions presented in the paper (based on modeling of a limited set of occurrence data) are vastly underestimated compared with distribution maps in standard reference literature and other available occurrence data. As a consequence of that the predicted major future range expansions of these important pest species are also erroneous.

Keywords

Climate change; geographical distribution; Norway spruce; pest insects; Scots pine; species distribution modeling

Published in

Scandinavian Journal of Forest Research
2016, Volume: 31, number: 1, pages: 126-127
Publisher: TAYLOR & FRANCIS AS

      SLU Authors

      • Associated SLU-program

        SLU Plant Protection Network

        Sustainable Development Goals

        Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts

        UKÄ Subject classification

        Ecology

        Publication identifier

        DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/02827581.2015.1086018

        Permanent link to this page (URI)

        https://res.slu.se/id/publ/68993