Home About Browse Search
Svenska


To what extent is climate change adaptation a novel challenge for agricultural modellers?

Kipling, R.P. and Topp, C.F.E. and Bannink, A. and Bartley, D.J. and Blanco Penedo, Isabel and Cortignani, R. and del Prado, A. and Dono, G. and Faverdin, P. and Graux, A.-I. and Hutchings, N.J. and Lauwers, L. and Özkan Gülzar, S. and Reidsma, P. and Rolinski, S. and Ruiz-Ramos, M. and Sandars, D.L. and Sándor, R. and Schönhart, M. and Seddaiu, G. and van Middelkoop, J. and Shrestha, S. and Weindl, I. and Eory, V. (2019). To what extent is climate change adaptation a novel challenge for agricultural modellers? Environmental Modelling and Software. 120 , 1-21
[Journal article]

[img] PDF - Published Version
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial No Derivatives.

921kB

Abstract

Modelling is key to adapting agriculture to climate change (CC), facilitating evaluation of the impacts and efficacy of adaptation measures, and the design of optimal strategies. Although there are many challenges to modelling agricultural CC adaptation, it is unclear whether these are novel or, whether adaptation merely adds new motivations to old challenges. Here, qualitative analysis of modellers’ views revealed three categories of challenge: Content, Use, and Capacity. Triangulation of findings with reviews of agricultural modelling and Climate Change Risk Assessment was then used to highlight challenges specific to modelling adaptation. These were refined through literature review, focussing attention on how the progressive nature of CC affects the role and impact of modelling. Specific challenges identified were: Scope of adaptations modelled, Information on future adaptation, Collaboration to tackle novel challenges, Optimisation under progressive change with thresholds, and Responsibility given the sensitivity of future outcomes to initial choices under progressive change.

Authors/Creators:Kipling, R.P. and Topp, C.F.E. and Bannink, A. and Bartley, D.J. and Blanco Penedo, Isabel and Cortignani, R. and del Prado, A. and Dono, G. and Faverdin, P. and Graux, A.-I. and Hutchings, N.J. and Lauwers, L. and Özkan Gülzar, S. and Reidsma, P. and Rolinski, S. and Ruiz-Ramos, M. and Sandars, D.L. and Sándor, R. and Schönhart, M. and Seddaiu, G. and van Middelkoop, J. and Shrestha, S. and Weindl, I. and Eory, V.
Title:To what extent is climate change adaptation a novel challenge for agricultural modellers?
Year of publishing :2019
Volume:120
Page range:1-21
Number of Pages:21
Publisher:Elsevier
ISSN:1364-8152
Language:English
Publication Type:Journal article
Refereed:Yes
Article category:Scientific peer reviewed
Version:Published version
Copyright:Creative Commons: Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0
Full Text Status:Public
Subjects:(A) Swedish standard research categories 2011 > 4 Agricultural Sciences > 401 Agricultural, Forestry and Fisheries > Agricultural Science
Keywords:Adaptation, Agricultural modelling, Climate change, Research challenges
URN:NBN:urn:nbn:se:slu:epsilon-p-101294
Permanent URL:
http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:slu:epsilon-p-101294
Additional ID:
Type of IDID
DOI10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.104492
ID Code:16292
Faculty:VH - Faculty of Veterinary Medicine and Animal Science
Department:(VH) > Dept. of Clinical Sciences
Deposited By: SLUpub Connector
Deposited On:01 Oct 2019 10:25
Metadata Last Modified:05 Aug 2020 17:20

Repository Staff Only: item control page

Downloads

Downloads per year (since September 2012)

View more statistics

Downloads
Hits