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Differences in spatial versus temporal reaction norms for spring and autumn phenological events

Delgado, Maria del Mar and Roslin, Tomas and Tikhonov, Gleb and Meyke, Evgeniy and Lo, Coong and Gurarie, Eliezer and Abadonova, Marina and Abduraimov, Ozodbek and Adrianova, Olga and Akimova, Tatiana and Akkiev, Muzhigit and Ananin, Aleksandr and Andreeva, Elena and Andriychuk, Natalia and Antipin, Maxim and Arzamascev, Konstantin and Babina, Svetlana and Babushkin, Miroslav and Bakin, Oleg and Barabancova, Anna and Basilskaja, Inna and Belova, Nina and Belyaeva, Natalia and Bespalova, Tatjana and Bisikalova, Evgeniya and Bobretsov, Anatoly and Bobrov, Vladimir and Bobrovskyi, Vadim and Bochkareva, Elena and Bogdanov, Gennady and Bolshakov, Vladimir and Bondarchuk, Svetlana and Bukharova, Evgeniya and Butunina, Alena and Buyvolov, Yuri and Buyvolova, Anna and Bykov, Yuri and Chakhireva, Elena and Chashchina, Olga and Cherenkova, Nadezhda and Chistjakov, Sergej and Chuhontseva, Svetlana and Davydov, Evgeniy A. and Demchenko, Viktor and Diadicheva, Elena and Dobrolyubov, Aleksandr and Dostoyevskaya, Ludmila and Drovnina, Svetlana and Drozdova, Zoya and Dubanaev, Akynaly and Dubrovsky, Yuriy and Elsukov, Sergey and Epova, Lidia and Ermakova, Olga S. and Esengeldenova, Aleksandra and Evstigneev, Oleg and Fedchenko, Irina and Fedotova, Violetta and Filatova, Tatiana and Gashev, Sergey and Gavrilov, Anatoliy and Gaydysh, Irina and Golovcov, Dmitrij and Goncharova, Nadezhda and Gorbunova, Elena and Gordeeva, Tatyana and Grishchenko, Vitaly and Gromyko, Ludmila and Hohryakov, Vladimir and Hritankov, Alexander and Ignatenko, Elena and Igosheva, Svetlana and Ivanova, Uliya and Kalinkin, Yury and Kaygorodova, Evgeniya and Kazansky, Fedor and Kiseleva, Darya and Knorre, Anastasia and Kolpashikov, Leonid and Korobov, Evgenii and Korolyova, Helen and Korotkikh, Natalia and Kosenkov, Gennadiy and Kossenko, Sergey and Kotlugalyamova, Elvira and Kozlovsky, Evgeny and Kozsheechkin, Vladimir and Kozurak, Alla and Kozyr, Irina and Krasnopevtseva, Aleksandra and Kruglikov, Sergey and Kuberskaya, Olga and Kudryavtsev, Aleksey and Kulebyakina, Elena and Kulsha, Yuliia and Kupriyanova, Margarita and Kurbanbagamaev, Murad and Kutenkov, Anatoliy and Kutenkova, Nadezhda and Kuznetsov, Andrey and Larin, Evgeniy and Lebedev, Pavel and Litvinov, Kirill and Luzhkova, Natalia and Mahmudov, Azizbek and Makovkina, Lidiya and Mamontov, Viktor and Mayorova, Svetlana and Megalinskaja, Irina and Meydus, Artur and Minin, Aleksandr and Mitrofanov, Oleg and Motruk, Mykhailo and Myslenkov, Aleksandr and Nasonova, Nina and Nemtseva, Natalia and Nesterova, Irina and Nezdoliy, Tamara and Niroda, Tatyana and Novikova, Tatiana and Panicheva, Darya and Pavlov, Alexey and Pavlova, Klara and Van, Polina and Podolski, Sergei and Polikarpova, Natalja and Polyanskaya, Tatiana and Pospelov, Igor and Pospelova, Elena and Prokhorov, Ilya and Prokosheva, Irina and Puchnina, Lyudmila and Putrashyk, Ivan and Raiskaya, Julia and Rozhkov, Yuri and Rozhkova, Olga and Rudenko, Marina and Rybnikova, Irina and Rykova, Svetlana and Sahnevich, Miroslava and Samoylov, Alexander and Sanko, Valeri and Sapelnikova, Inna and Sazonov, Sergei and Selyunina, Zoya and Shalaeva, Ksenia and Shashkov, Maksim and Shcherbakov, Anatoliy and Shevchyk, Vasyl and Shubin, Sergej and Shujskaja, Elena and Sibgatullin, Rustam and Sikkila, Natalia and Sitnikova, Elena and Sivkov, Andrei and Skok, Nataliya and Skorokhodova, Svetlana and Smirnova, Elena and Sokolova, Galina and Sopin, Vladimir and Spasovski, Yurii and Stepanov, Sergei and Stratiy, Vitaliy and Strekalovskaya, Violetta and Sukhov, Alexander and Suleymanova, Guzalya and Sultangareeva, Lilija and Teleganova, Viktorija and Teplov, Viktor and Teplova, Valentina and Tertitsa, Tatiana and Timoshkin, Vladislav and Tirski, Dmitry and Tolmachev, Andrej and Tomilin, Aleksey and Tselishcheva, Ludmila and Turgunov, Mirabdulla and Tyukh, Yurij and Van, Vladimir and Ershkova, Elena and Vasin, Aleksander and Vasina, Aleksandra and Vekliuk, Anatoliy and Vetchinnikova, Lidia and Vinogradov, Vladislav and Volodchenkov, Nikolay and Voloshina, Inna and Xoliqov, Tura and Yablonovska-Grishchenko, Eugenia and Yakovlev, Vladimir and Yakovleva, Marina and Yantser, Oksana and Yarema, Yurij and Zahvatov, Andrey and Zakharov, Valery and Zelenetskiy, Nicolay and Zheltukhin, Anatolii and Zubina, Tatyana and Kurhinen, Juri and Ovaskainen, Otso (2020). Differences in spatial versus temporal reaction norms for spring and autumn phenological events. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 117 , 31249-31258
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Abstract

For species to stay temporally tuned to their environment, they use cues such as the accumulation of degree-days. The relationships between the timing of a phenological event in a population and its environmental cue can be described by a population-level reaction norm. Variation in reaction norms along environmental gradients may either intensify the environmental effects on timing (cogradient variation) or attenuate the effects (countergradient variation). To resolve spatial and seasonal variation in species' response, we use a unique dataset of 91 taxa and 178 phenological events observed across a network of 472 monitoring sites, spread across the nations of the former Soviet Union. We show that compared to local rates of advancement of phenological events with the advancement of temperature-related cues (i.e., variation within site over years), spatial variation in reaction norms tend to accentuate responses in spring (cogradient variation) and attenuate them in autumn (countergradient variation). As a result, among-population variation in the timing of events is greater in spring and less in autumn than if all populations followed the same reaction norm regardless of location. Despite such signs of local adaptation, overall phenotypic plasticity was not sufficient for phenological events to keep exact pace with their cues-the earlier the year, the more did the timing of the phenological event lag behind the timing of the cue. Overall, these patterns suggest that differences in the spatial versus temporal reaction norms will affect species' response to climate change in opposite ways in spring and autumn.

Authors/Creators:Delgado, Maria del Mar and Roslin, Tomas and Tikhonov, Gleb and Meyke, Evgeniy and Lo, Coong and Gurarie, Eliezer and Abadonova, Marina and Abduraimov, Ozodbek and Adrianova, Olga and Akimova, Tatiana and Akkiev, Muzhigit and Ananin, Aleksandr and Andreeva, Elena and Andriychuk, Natalia and Antipin, Maxim and Arzamascev, Konstantin and Babina, Svetlana and Babushkin, Miroslav and Bakin, Oleg and Barabancova, Anna and Basilskaja, Inna and Belova, Nina and Belyaeva, Natalia and Bespalova, Tatjana and Bisikalova, Evgeniya and Bobretsov, Anatoly and Bobrov, Vladimir and Bobrovskyi, Vadim and Bochkareva, Elena and Bogdanov, Gennady and Bolshakov, Vladimir and Bondarchuk, Svetlana and Bukharova, Evgeniya and Butunina, Alena and Buyvolov, Yuri and Buyvolova, Anna and Bykov, Yuri and Chakhireva, Elena and Chashchina, Olga and Cherenkova, Nadezhda and Chistjakov, Sergej and Chuhontseva, Svetlana and Davydov, Evgeniy A. and Demchenko, Viktor and Diadicheva, Elena and Dobrolyubov, Aleksandr and Dostoyevskaya, Ludmila and Drovnina, Svetlana and Drozdova, Zoya and Dubanaev, Akynaly and Dubrovsky, Yuriy and Elsukov, Sergey and Epova, Lidia and Ermakova, Olga S. and Esengeldenova, Aleksandra and Evstigneev, Oleg and Fedchenko, Irina and Fedotova, Violetta and Filatova, Tatiana and Gashev, Sergey and Gavrilov, Anatoliy and Gaydysh, Irina and Golovcov, Dmitrij and Goncharova, Nadezhda and Gorbunova, Elena and Gordeeva, Tatyana and Grishchenko, Vitaly and Gromyko, Ludmila and Hohryakov, Vladimir and Hritankov, Alexander and Ignatenko, Elena and Igosheva, Svetlana and Ivanova, Uliya and Kalinkin, Yury and Kaygorodova, Evgeniya and Kazansky, Fedor and Kiseleva, Darya and Knorre, Anastasia and Kolpashikov, Leonid and Korobov, Evgenii and Korolyova, Helen and Korotkikh, Natalia and Kosenkov, Gennadiy and Kossenko, Sergey and Kotlugalyamova, Elvira and Kozlovsky, Evgeny and Kozsheechkin, Vladimir and Kozurak, Alla and Kozyr, Irina and Krasnopevtseva, Aleksandra and Kruglikov, Sergey and Kuberskaya, Olga and Kudryavtsev, Aleksey and Kulebyakina, Elena and Kulsha, Yuliia and Kupriyanova, Margarita and Kurbanbagamaev, Murad and Kutenkov, Anatoliy and Kutenkova, Nadezhda and Kuznetsov, Andrey and Larin, Evgeniy and Lebedev, Pavel and Litvinov, Kirill and Luzhkova, Natalia and Mahmudov, Azizbek and Makovkina, Lidiya and Mamontov, Viktor and Mayorova, Svetlana and Megalinskaja, Irina and Meydus, Artur and Minin, Aleksandr and Mitrofanov, Oleg and Motruk, Mykhailo and Myslenkov, Aleksandr and Nasonova, Nina and Nemtseva, Natalia and Nesterova, Irina and Nezdoliy, Tamara and Niroda, Tatyana and Novikova, Tatiana and Panicheva, Darya and Pavlov, Alexey and Pavlova, Klara and Van, Polina and Podolski, Sergei and Polikarpova, Natalja and Polyanskaya, Tatiana and Pospelov, Igor and Pospelova, Elena and Prokhorov, Ilya and Prokosheva, Irina and Puchnina, Lyudmila and Putrashyk, Ivan and Raiskaya, Julia and Rozhkov, Yuri and Rozhkova, Olga and Rudenko, Marina and Rybnikova, Irina and Rykova, Svetlana and Sahnevich, Miroslava and Samoylov, Alexander and Sanko, Valeri and Sapelnikova, Inna and Sazonov, Sergei and Selyunina, Zoya and Shalaeva, Ksenia and Shashkov, Maksim and Shcherbakov, Anatoliy and Shevchyk, Vasyl and Shubin, Sergej and Shujskaja, Elena and Sibgatullin, Rustam and Sikkila, Natalia and Sitnikova, Elena and Sivkov, Andrei and Skok, Nataliya and Skorokhodova, Svetlana and Smirnova, Elena and Sokolova, Galina and Sopin, Vladimir and Spasovski, Yurii and Stepanov, Sergei and Stratiy, Vitaliy and Strekalovskaya, Violetta and Sukhov, Alexander and Suleymanova, Guzalya and Sultangareeva, Lilija and Teleganova, Viktorija and Teplov, Viktor and Teplova, Valentina and Tertitsa, Tatiana and Timoshkin, Vladislav and Tirski, Dmitry and Tolmachev, Andrej and Tomilin, Aleksey and Tselishcheva, Ludmila and Turgunov, Mirabdulla and Tyukh, Yurij and Van, Vladimir and Ershkova, Elena and Vasin, Aleksander and Vasina, Aleksandra and Vekliuk, Anatoliy and Vetchinnikova, Lidia and Vinogradov, Vladislav and Volodchenkov, Nikolay and Voloshina, Inna and Xoliqov, Tura and Yablonovska-Grishchenko, Eugenia and Yakovlev, Vladimir and Yakovleva, Marina and Yantser, Oksana and Yarema, Yurij and Zahvatov, Andrey and Zakharov, Valery and Zelenetskiy, Nicolay and Zheltukhin, Anatolii and Zubina, Tatyana and Kurhinen, Juri and Ovaskainen, Otso
Title:Differences in spatial versus temporal reaction norms for spring and autumn phenological events
Series Name/Journal:Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Year of publishing :2020
Volume:117
Page range:31249-31258
Number of Pages:10
Publisher:NATL ACAD SCIENCES
ISSN:0027-8424
Language:English
Publication Type:Journal article
Article category:Scientific peer reviewed
Version:Published version
Copyright:Creative Commons: Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0
Full Text Status:Public
Subjects:(A) Swedish standard research categories 2011 > 1 Natural sciences > 106 Biological Sciences (Medical to be 3 and Agricultural to be 4) > Ecology
Keywords:chilling, climate change, heating, phenology, plasticity
URN:NBN:urn:nbn:se:slu:epsilon-p-110095
Permanent URL:
http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:slu:epsilon-p-110095
Additional ID:
Type of IDID
DOI10.1073/pnas.2002713117
Web of Science (WoS)000598990900008
ID Code:22638
Faculty:NJ - Fakulteten för naturresurser och jordbruksvetenskap
Department:(NL, NJ) > Dept. of Ecology
(S) > Dept. of Ecology
Deposited By: SLUpub Connector
Deposited On:22 Feb 2021 14:43
Metadata Last Modified:22 Feb 2021 14:51

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